Tag Archive for 'polls'

Nuts to that

Gallup asks Black Americans who should speak for them and if I were being asked my No. 1 answer would be nobody should speak to me, those weren’t Gallup’s results. 29 percent replied Barack Obama, 6 percent Al Sharpton, only 4 percent Jesse Jackson, and coming in next, the first black couple in the White House, Bill and Hillary Clinton, each with 3 percent, beating Oprah with 2 percent.

Congress tilts left

Gallup’s latest “generic ballot” poll shows a 52-42 advantage for the Democrats with independents tilting left 54-31.

Declaration of

It’s way too early to prognosticate the election based on polls, but what’s a pollster to do in the meantime? Gallup finds a seven point lead for Obama among independents. They also find lower loyalty in each party (78 percent of Democrats say now they’ll vote for Obama). Thus, Gallup says, more party people may move and act like independence.

New math

Gallup looks at the segmentation between Obama and McCain. No big surprises. Among voters 18-29, Obama has 59 percent while among voters over 50 McCain has 50 percent. Regionally, McCain’s strength is all in the South.

Sound bite: “These things may change.” Oh, yeah

Ready, aim, vote

John Hockenberry of the new public radio show The Takeaway (starting Monday) goes to Cabelas, the Wal-Mart of guns and hunting gear in Pennsylvania, and hears these guys edging toward Obama. But that doesn’t match the latest McClatchy poll, which says Clinton leads there with gun owners… and bowlers.

Like father, like son

Gallup’s latest presidential approval numbers show that George W Bush has now moved past his father with a lower approval rating: 28 percent (vs. Dad’s low of 29), the lowest of this administration. He still as time to catch up with Richard Nixon and Harry Truman, the only chief executives with lower ratings (Harry’s hit 22 percent).

Sore losers

In a much-blogged report today, Gallup says that many Democrats would desert if their candidate doesn’t win. 28% of Clinton voters would shift to McCain if Obama wins while 19% of Obama voters would do likewise if Clinton wins. Gallup says this is an indication of the damage from the ongoing battle for the nomination; I don’t see the logic in that. I’d also be curious to see similar stats for Republicans whose guys did not win.

Ying meets yang

The latest Gallup poll shows Hillary Clinton moving ahead — 48/44 for Clinton on March 6, after the Tuesday primaries, versus 50/42 for Obama on March 2 — but there is a constant see-sawing among “two attractive candidates.”

The experience paradox

The latest Gallup poll/show shows that Americans don’t care as much about experience as Hillary Clinton wishes they did. When asked who has the experience necessary to be president, McCain scores a yes with 70%, Clinton with 65%, and Obama gets less than half: 46%. But asked what matters when they vote, 42 percent say leadership skills and vision, 34 percent say positions on issues, and only 22 percent say experience. And, of course, experience has been Clinton’s key message.

Candidate envy

Gallup says only just barely over half of Republicans say they’d support John McCain. They say that now…. And doesn’t that position him at the center?

Gallup also found that Democrats are much more enthused about about both their candidates than Republicans are about theirs.

McCain’s old friends

The Gallup poll finds, not surprisingly, that McCain’s support skews old. But there’s no split between men and women on the Republican side.

Preaching to the choir

Gallup looks at “highly religious Republicans” and, no surprise, they heart Huck. Giuliani, on the other hand, keeps losing their support; he’s down to a single digit in the church pews.

Gallup shows its face

Well, if I were a pollster, I might have gone into hiding yesterday. But Gallup’s Frank Newport goes before the camera:

Corn-fed

Gallup’s latest video reminds us that the polling in Iowa and, for that matter, New Hampshire, doesn’t reflect the national numbers, where Hillary Clinton remains far ahead — 45% vs. 27% for Barack Obama — and Rudy Giuliani is also still on top — 27% vs. 16% for Mike Huckabee (and 14% each for McCain, Thompson, and Romney. Which is to say that Iowa’s odd.

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As they round the bend…

It has already made news already, but Gallup’s video explains its latest poll with Rudy “down, down, and down” and Huckabee way up. Clinton’s down and the field gains a few points.




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