A new Gallup poll now projects that 33% of voters will vote before Election Day. 18% have voted thus far and they like Obama (53%) over McCain (43%).
Tag Archive for 'gallup'
A recent Gallup poll (October 20-22) finds that 11% of likely voters have already voted and another 19% say they plan to vote early. That means nearly a third of the total vote will be cast before Election Day — a new phenomenon in American politics.
Thus far, early voters are almost evenly split, with Obama enjoying a slight advantage.
Another Gallup poll (October 17-19) shows that first-time voters (most of whom are between 18-29) favor Barack Obama (65%) over John McCain (30%).
Gallup says the candidates are tied 46-46, the first time that Obama wasn’t at least a point ahead.
55 percent of Americans now rate the economy as poor.
A recent Gallup poll (Sept 5-7) asked likely voters which candidate they saw as “a strong and decisive leader.” 52% said John McCain, while 41% chose Barack Obama. But when asked who “cares about the needs of people like you,” 52% picked Obama vs. 40% for McCain.
Looks like the Democratic Convention is providing a bit of a bounce for Barack Obama. The Gallup Daily Tracking Poll shows that Obama has taken a 6 point lead over John McCain — 48% to 42%. (This latest poll was taken BEFORE the Biden and Obama acceptance speeches and the Sarah Palin V.P. announcement.)
LATER: Bigger Bounce
The updated Gallup Daily Tracking Poll (Aug. 30 through Sept. 1) — taken after the Barack Obama acceptance speech and Sarah Palin V.P. announcement — has Obama moving to 50% and McCain stable at 42%
For the first time this summer, John McCain moved slightly ahead of Barack Obama in the Gallup Daily Tracking poll — 46% to 44%. The latest polling (through August 25) shows no bounce from the Biden announcement and no bounce from the lead-in to the convention.
Unfortunately for the Republican candidate, the residents of the former Soviet republic don’t vote. In a Gallup poll conducted before the recent Russian invasion, Georgians picked McCain (23%) over Obama (15%). “Don’t Know” won in a landslide with 57%.
Gallup’s Daily Tracking Poll shows that the race has remained tight throughout the summer: Barack Obama is consistently running about 3 points ahead of John McCain. Watch for short-term bounces in the weeks ahead, says Gallup, as VP choices are announced and the conventions take center stage.
Too bad Barack Obama isn’t running for president of Europe. According to recent Gallup polls (May -June), more than 60% of Brits, French and Germans favor the Democratic candidate. Senator McCain polled 15% in the U.K., 10% in Germany and 4% in France. Mais oui.
Barack Obama says that if elected president he would talk to Iranian President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad. Both Hillary Clinton and John McCain say that’s a bad idea. According to a recent Gallup poll (May 19-21), a majority of Americans favor Obama’s approach. 59% think chatting up Ahmadinejad is a “good idea.”
Despite all the talk about the never-ending campaign, a recent Gallup poll (May 1-3) shows that 60% of Democratic voters think the candidates should keep on, keepin’ on. Not surprisingly, Clinton supporters feel more strongly about the subject than Obama supporters.
A recent Gallup poll (April 1-26) finds an “education gap” among white Democratic voters aged 35-54: college grads prefer Barack Obama (58%) over Hillary Clinton (35%). The numbers are reversed for folks with less than a college education (those bitter, gun-loving, religious types): they like Hillary (59%) more than Obama (32%).
A recent Gallup poll (April 12-14) says the recent flare-up over Barack Obama’s “bitter” comments “reveals no change in national Democratic voters’ preferences for the presidential nomination.”
Gallup’s latest presidential approval numbers show that George W Bush has now moved past his father with a lower approval rating: 28 percent (vs. Dad’s low of 29), the lowest of this administration. He still as time to catch up with Richard Nixon and Harry Truman, the only chief executives with lower ratings (Harry’s hit 22 percent).
In a much-blogged report today, Gallup says that many Democrats would desert if their candidate doesn’t win. 28% of Clinton voters would shift to McCain if Obama wins while 19% of Obama voters would do likewise if Clinton wins. Gallup says this is an indication of the damage from the ongoing battle for the nomination; I don’t see the logic in that. I’d also be curious to see similar stats for Republicans whose guys did not win.
